North Korea

Kamala Harris and North Korea: Can Anything Be Done?
Some problems don’t have solutions, and unfortunately, Korean denuclearization is one of them. A Kamala Harris presidency is unlikely to spend significant foreign policy capital on a North Korean gesture,...

The Politics of North Korea’s ICBM Program
In another world, it would be reasonable to expect North Korea to rank among the strongest and wealthiest countries across the dimensions of national power, just like its neighbor, South...

North Korea: Just a Vassal State of China and Russia?
North Korea is about to lose its ability to influence developments in East Asia. That, I think, will become evident in 2024. At the moment, the Democratic People’s Republic of...

Why North Korea Will Keep Causing Major Trouble in 2024
More missile tests, rapidly advancing relations with Russia and China and zero progress on diplomacy with the United States and South Korea — this was the direction North Korea took...

Starvation? Why Kim Jong-un Is Closing North Korea’s Foreign Embassies
In November 2023, North Korea decided to close its foreign diplomatic missions in Angola, Hong Kong, Nepal, Spain, Uganda, the Democratic Republic of Congo, Bangladesh, Senegal and Guinea. These closures likely come...

What Would a Second Trump Administration Mean for North Korea?
It is tempting to presume that the return of Donald Trump to the White House in 2025 would revive the “bromance” between Trump and Kim Jong-un and spark renewed tensions...

North Korea and Donald Trump, Round II: What Could Happen?
Donald Trump, along with Russian president Vladimir Putin, is arguably among the world’s most demonized leaders. It is, therefore, an audacious task to defend his record in any part of...

Donald Trump and North Korea Part II? China Will Still Be the Key
North Korea policy in the first Trump administration allowed the U.S. to test the proposition that maximum sanctions pressure on the North Korean economy, combined with the allure of summit-level...

Will America Be at War with North Korea in 2025?
Donald Trump turned America’s North Korea policy upside down. After a period of strict sanctions enforcement and inflammatory words—“fire and fury,” “locked and loaded”—he reached out to Kim Jong Un....

Donald Trump and North Korea: What Happens if Trump Wins in 2024?
A second Donald Trump administration’s North Korea policy would be uncannily similar to the current Biden administration’s for two reasons: North Korea’s loss of trust toward the U.S. and South...

Donald Trump Could Make Big Mistakes on North Korea If Reelected
A shakeup in U.S. policy toward the Korean Peninsula is possible if Donald Trump gets a second term as U.S. president. The changes would not necessarily serve US interests well. ...

Russia and North Korea: A Military Partnership That Can Truly Last or Not?
Concrete evidence suggests a close relationship between Russia and North Korea. In July, Russia’s defense minister, Sergei Shoigu, visited North Korea for negotiations, followed by the third summit meeting between...